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5G手机明年将大规模出货 芯片厂商积极“备战”

作者:博维科技 时间:2019-09-06 11:16

直播吧手机版 “ZAIZHONGGUO,5GSHOUJIDEDAGUIMOCHUHUOYUJIHUIZAIMINGNIANQIDONG,BINGZHANJUZHONGGUOSHOUJISHICHANG20%DEFENE。”Strategy AnalyticsXINXINGSHEBEIJISHU(EDT)YANJIUFUWUFUZONGJIANVille-Petteri UkonahoJIESHOU21SHIJIJINGJIBAODAOJIZHECAIFANGRENWEI,ZAIQUANQIUQITADIQU,5GCHANPINGENGDAGUIMODECHUHUOHUIZAI2020NIANDISIJIDU,QIBIAOZHIXINGSHIJIANHUISHIPINGGUO5GCHANPINDETUICHU。

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直播吧手机版 SUIZHE5GSHANGYONGDEJINDUBEISHUCITIQIAN,WAIJIEDEGUANZHUZHONGDIANKAISHIBUFENZHUANXIANG5GCHANPINDAGUIMOCHUHUODESHIJIAN,YIJIQIJIAGEXIAJIANGDESHIJIANNAIZHIKONGJIAN。DUOJIASHOUJIXINPIANCHANGPANDUAN5GSHOUJIHUIZAI2020NIANDIYIJIDUDAGUIMOCHUHUO,YOUFENXIJIGOUSHENZHIRENWEI5GCHANPINYIJINGKAISHIZHUBUZAIBUFENSHICHANGDAGUIMOCHUHUO。LIANFAKEJIZONGJINGLICHENGUANZHOUJINRIZAICAIFANGZHONGTANYAN,YINIANQIANDAJIAHAIHUIYILV2020NIANQUANQIUJIANGHUIYOUDUOSHAOTAI5GSHEBEI,ERXIANZAIZHEIGESHUZIHUIDAYU1YIYICHENGYEJIEHEGONGYINGLIANDEGONGSHI。

BUGUO5GSHOUJIJIAOZHI4GCHANPINZAIFUZACHENGDUSHANGYOUJIAODATISHENG,ZHEIYEDAILAICHENGBENDEZENGJIA。DAGUIMOSHANGYONGDECHUQI,“GUI”YIRANSHI5GSHOUJIMIANLINDETIAOZHAN。GUONEILAIKAN,MUQIANYIYOUDUOJIAGONGSIDUI5GSHOUJINENGFOUJIANGJIAZHI3000YUANSHENZHI2000YUANYIXIAJINXINGLETANTAO。CHENGUANZHOUYEBIAOSHI,LIANFAKEQIANGLIEXIWANG5GSHOUJIJIAGENENGZAI2020NIANXIABANNIANXIATANZHI2000YUANYIXIA,ZHENGGECHANYELIANHUINULICUCHENGGAIMUBIAO。

直播吧手机版 5GDEDAOLAIYEBINGBUYIWEIZHE4GDELICHANG。XINGYEFENXIJIGOUStrategy AnalyticsXINXINGSHEBEIJISHU(EDT)YANJIUFUWUFUZONGJIANVille-Petteri UkonahoTANYAN,4GYOUZHE“ZHANGWEIXIAOYING”:QUANQIUXUDUODIQUHAIBINGWEIKAISHIXIANG5GGUODU,CIWAI,ZAIKEYUJIANDEWEILAI,ZUIBIANYIDEZHINENGSHOUJIYIRANHUISHI4GCHANPIN。CHENGUANZHOUYEBIAOSHI,LIANFAKEMUQIANZAISHOUJIYEWUSHANGDECELVEYISHIFENQINGXI:“DAHAO4GXIABANCHANG,ZHANGWO5GZHUANHUANDESHANGJI。”

明年开启第一波

“ZAIZHONGGUO,5GSHOUJIDEDAGUIMOCHUHUOYUJIHUIZAIMINGNIANQIDONG,BINGZHANJUZHONGGUOSHOUJISHICHANG20%DEFENE。”Strategy AnalyticsXINXINGSHEBEIJISHU(EDT)YANJIUFUWUFUZONGJIANVille-Petteri UkonahoJIESHOU21SHIJIJINGJIBAODAOJIZHECAIFANGRENWEI,ZAIQUANQIUQITADIQU,5GCHANPINGENGDAGUIMODECHUHUOHUIZAI2020NIANDISIJIDU,QIBIAOZHIXINGSHIJIANHUISHIPINGGUO5GCHANPINDETUICHU。

直播吧手机版 Strategy AnalyticsRENWEI,5GJIANGZAI2020NIANZHANJUQUANQIUZHINENGSHOUJISHICHANGDE10%,BINGZAI2021NIANDADAO25%。CIHOU,5GJIANG2024NIANCHENGWEIQUANQIUSHOUJISHICHANGDE“ZHULIU”,CHUHUOLIANGZHANBICHAOGUO50%,ERZAIZHONGGUO,ZHEIYIJINDUWUYIHUIGENGKUAI。

JIBANGZIXUN(trendForce)ZISHENYANJIUZONGJIANXIEYUSHANRENWEI,5GZAIWEIQUYUCHENGSHUDEZHINENGSHOUJISHICHANGZHURUZHEXINSHANGJI。TADUI21SHIJIJINGJIBAODAOJIZHEBIAOSHI:“QUANQIUDACHANGDUI5GDEZHONGJIMUBIAORENGSHI28GHzYISHANGDEHAOMIBOPINDUAN,GELEIDA、ZHONG、XIAO、WEIXINGJIZHANJIANGLUXUBUJIAN,KEWANGZAI2023NIANHOUCHIXUZENGZHANG。”

DUISHOUJIXINPIANCHANGSHANGLAISHUO,YONGZUIHESHIDECHANPINGANSHANG5GDIYIBODAGUIMOSHANGYONGYIXIANDEYOUWEIZHONGYAO。UkonahoRENWEI,GAOTONGYIRANSHIYIDONGLINGYUDE“XINPIANLINGXIU”,ZAI5GGUIGEDETUIJINGUOCHENGZHONGBANYANLEGUANJIANDEJIAOSE,QICHANPINYEZUODAOLEQUANQIUFANWEIZUIDAGUIMODEFUGAI;ERLIANFAKEDEYOUSHIZESHIZAIZHONGDANGZHINENGSHOUJILINGYUYIXIANGYOUZHEQIANGSHIDEBIAOXIAN,QIFANGANGENGYOULIYU5GSHOUJIJIAGEDEXIAJIANG。

ZIGUANGZHANRUIZEBEIRENWEIYEWUJIANGZHUYAOZAIZHONGGUO,QIDIJIAXINPIANYOULIYUZHONGGUOSHICHANGDE5GCHANPINGENGKUAISHIXIANLIANJIAHUA。SANXINGYUHUAWEI(HAISI)ZEDOUYOUZHEZIJIDE5GXINPIANBINGYOUXIANGONGYINGZIJIACHANPIN,ZHEIYEYIWEIZHEWENGUDECHUHUOQUDAO。

“LIANFAKEHEZIGUANGZHANRUIYUJIDOUJIANGZAIZHONGGUOSHICHANGQUDECHENGGONG,TAMENZUIDADETIAOZHANSHIZAIQITASHICHANGHUODEGENGGAODEJIESHOUDU,KAOLVDAORUJINDEQUANQIUMAOYIHUANJINGZHEIGENGXIANZHONGYAO。”UkonahoPINGLUNCHENG,“LIANFAKEGENGYOUXIWANGKAITUOQUANQIUSHICHANG,QICHANPINYIJINGZAIXIOUHEYAZHOUBEICAINA,ZHISHISHANGWEIZOUJINBEIMEISHICHANG。”

“WOXIANGXINZHEICI(LIANFAKE)GANSHANGLE5GDIYIBODAGUIMOSHANGYONGDESHIJIANDIAN。”CHENGUANZHOUZAICAIFANGZHONGBIAOSHI。LIANFAKEJICAIWUZHANGGUDAWEIDUI21SHIJIJINGJIBAODAOJIZHEBIAOSHI,5GZAI2020NIANDEDAGUIMOSHANGYONGYIDINGHUIDUIGONGSIYINGSHOUYOUBIJIAOZHENGMIANDEBANGZHU。

TAZHICHU,5GXINPIANDANJIAJIAO4GXINPIANYAOGUI,QIE2020NIANGUONEISHICHANGDEGUIMOJIANGZAI1YITAIYISHANG,YILIANFAKEXIWANGDADAODESHIZHANLVLAIKAN,XIANGXINHUIDUIYINGSHOUYOUBANGZHU。“XIANGXIDESHUZISHOUXIANYUSHANGSHIGONGSI(XIANGGUANYAOQIU),MINGNIANCAINENGGONGBU。”GUDAWEISHUO,“FANGXIANGSHANGYINGGAISHIZHENGMIANXIAOXI。”

5G何时降价?

ZAICHENGUANZHOUKANLAI,5GJISHUDAILAIDETISHENGBI4GJISHUYAOGAOWUBEISHENZHIQIBEIYISHANG,ERZHEIYEYIWEIZHEDUIJIDAICHULINENGLIDEGAOYAOQIU。“ZHEIRANGSHEJIDEFUZADUBIANDEFEICHANGGAO,BUZHISHIZAIYUNSUAN,SHENZHIZAIQIANDUANRF(SHEPIN,XIATONG)JISHU、TIANXIANJISHU,DOUHUIGEN4GWANQUANBUTONGDENGJI,JISHUNANDUQUESHIGAOCHUHENDUO。”TASHUO。

直播吧手机版 XIEYUSHANYEZHICHU,XIANGJIAOYU4G,5GBIXUXIANGXIAJIANRONG4G/3GDENGPINDUAN,JIASHANGYAOBAOZHANGSHIYONGZHETIYAN,5GSHOUJIDEJISHUHANLIANGSHIBITISHENG,TONGSHIYEXUYAOYINRUXIANJINZHICHENGLAITISHENGZHENGTIDEYUNZUOXIAONENG,ZHEIYEYIWEIZHECHENGBENTISHENGSHIBIRANJIEGUO。YISub-6GHzDE5GSHOUJIWEILI,JINZAISHEPINQIANDUANDECHENGBENSHANG,XIANGJIAOYU4GSHOUJIDETISHENGJIUYOU20%ZHI30%。

SHOUZHIYUDUOFANGMIANDECHENGBENYINSU,ZAI5GDAGUIMOSHANGYONGDECHUQI,“GUI”WUYIHUISHIXIAOFEIZHEXUANZE5GSHOUJIDEZHONGYAOZULIZHIYI。CIWAIXIEYUSHANHAIZHICHU,5GZAISHOUJISHANGSHANGWEIYOU“SHASHOUJI”YINGYONGCHUXIAN,MUQIANDEDUOSHUYINGYONGYI4GWANGLUOYEKEYISHIXIAN,SHENGJIZHI5GBINGBUHUIDAILAIMINGXIANDEXIAOYI,YINCILIYONGJIAGEYOUHUILAIXIYINXIAOFEIZHEMAIDANDEZUOFAYEKENENGYOUXIAN。

“SUIZHEGAOTONG、LIANFAKEDENGLUXUTUICHU5G SoC(SHOUJIYINGYONGCHULIQIYUJIDAILIANGZHEZUODAOYIQIFENGZHUANGDEXINGSHI,XIATONG),JIANGYOUJIHUILADI5GSHOUJIDELINGJIANCHENGBEN,DANXIAOGUOYOUXIAN,ZHONGDIANHAISHIZAIYUDIANXINYEZHESHIFOUYUANYITIGONGYIDINGBILIDEBUTIE,JIASU5GSHOUJIDECAIYONG。”TABIAOSHI,“JIAODAFUDUDEJIANGJIADAGAILVHUIZAI2022DAO2023NIANCHUXIAN。”

UkonahoZERENWEI,ZHONGGUOHUISHIYINLING5GCHANPINZOURUDIJIAQUJIANDEGUANJIANSHICHANG,YOUQISHISUIZHELIANFAKEHEZIGUANGZHANRUIFANGANDETUIJIN,5GSHOUJIJIAGEKENENGHUIZAIWEILAIXUNSUXIAJIANG。BUGUO,TATONGYANGBURENWEI5GSHOUJINENGGOUZAI2020NIANDAGUIMOJINRUZHONGDENGJIAWEI。ZAITAKANLAI,5GCHANPINJIAODAGUIMOJINRUZHONGDENGJIAWEIHETUPOZHIDIJIAWEIDESHIJIANJIANGFENBIEWEI2021HE2022NIAN。

直播吧手机版 JINGUAN“QIANGLIEXIWANG”GUONEISHICHANGSHANG5GSHOUJIJIAGEKEYIZAIMINGNIANXIABANNIANXIATANZHI2000YUANZHIXIA,LIANFAKEYEBURENWEIQIKEYIJINYIBUKUAISUXIATANZHIQIANYUANSHUIPING,ERZHEIYESHIYINWEI5GSHOUJIDEFUZADUYUANCHAO4G。“XIANBUSHUOSoCDEBUFEN,RFDECHENGBENZENGJIADOUSHIYOUDE,ZHEIHUIRANG5GSHOUJIPUJIDAO4GSHOUJIDE1000YUANYIXIAJIAWEISUOXUDESHIJIANLAZHANGYIDIAN。”CHENGUANZHOUBIAOSHI。

打好4G“下半场”

5GDEDAOLAIYEBINGBUYIWEIZHE4GDETUICHANG。“4GBINGMEIYOUZAIXIAOSHI,XUDUODIQUHAIMEIYOUKAISHIXIANG5GGUODU。”UkonahoBIAOSHI。TAYUJI,WEILAISHUNIAN,4GSHOUJIJIANGJIXUZAIFEIZHOU、YINDU、LADINGMEIZHOUDENGDIQUXIAOSHOU;CIWAI,ZAIKEYUJIANDEWEILAI,ZUIBIANYI、KEFUDANDEZHINENGSHOUJIYIRANHUISHI4GCHANPIN。ZHEIXIEYINSUYITONGCUCHENGLE4GDE“ZHANGWEIXIAOYING”。

CHENGUANZHOUTONGYANGRENKEZHEIYI“ZHANGWEIXIAOYING”。TAZAICAIFANGZHONGZHICHU,MUQIANQUANQIUYINIANYUEYOU16YITAISHOUJICHUHUO,GEGEGUOJIAXIANG5GZHUANHUANDEJINDUBUYI,4GDESHIYONGLIAOJIANGHUIYANXUZHI2025NIANSHENZHIGENGWAN。

直播吧手机版 GUDAWEIYEBUCHONGBIAOSHI,TONGXUNDEGAIBIANBUJIANDESHIYAO“YIDAOQIE”。“SUIRANDAJIATAN4G、5G,DANMUQIAN2GXINPIANHAISHIYIMEINIANJIYIDELIANGZAICHUHUO。”TASHUO,“4GYINGGAIBUZHIYUTINGZHISHENGCHAN,WOMENHUICHIXUTOUZI,ZHISHIDABUFENDEZIYUANHUIWANG5GQINGXIE。”TANJISHIFOUHUIJIXUFABUXINDE4GXINPIAN,GUDAWEIBIAOSHI:“WOMENYIDINGHUICHIXUYOUXINDE4GXINPIANCHULAI。”

LINGYIFANGMIANDETIXIANZESHIZAIGONGNENGJILINGYU。CHENGUANZHOUZAICAIFANGZHONGZHICHU,SHOUJISHICHANGWEILAIDEFANGXIANGHUISHIXIANYOUDEGAODUANJIBEI5GCHANPINQUDAI,PIANZHONGDUAN、DIDUANCHANPINZEHUISHI4G。ZHEIQIZHONGYEBAOHANZHEDIDUANDE“GONGNENGJI”。

直播吧手机版 “ZAIWOKANLAI,BUSHISUOWEIGONGNENGJIHEZHINENGJI,TABEIHOUDEZHONGDIANSHIKEYIZUODAODUOBIANYI。”CHENGUANZHOUQIANGDIAO,SHOUJIDEZHINENGHUASHIYIGEQUSHI,JIBIANSHIBEICHENGZUO‘GONGNENGJI’DEJIXING,SHIJISHANGYEHUIXUYAOJUBEIZHINENGDENENGLI。“ZHEIGEMINGTIDUILIANFAKELAISHUOHENJIANDAN,JIUSHIRUHEZAIZHINENGHUAQUSHIXIA,BADONGXIZUODAOBIANYI,ERQIEKEYIMANZUMOUXIEDIQUDEXUQIU。”TASHUO。

直播吧手机版 XIEYUSHANYEZAICAIFANGZHONGZHICHU,WEILAIYIDUANSHIJIAN4GSHOUJIRENGWEIZHULIU,ERCHUANTONGGONGNENGJIHUIZHUJIANBEIDIJIEZHINENGXINGSHOUJIQUDAI。TARENWEI,4GSHOUJIDEZHANGWEIXIAOYINGYUJIKEYANXUZHI2021-2022NIAN。

直播吧手机版 GAOTONGGONGSICENGJINGZAI2017NIANTUICHULE4GGONGNENGJIXINPIAN,YIZAIWAJUEDANGSHIXUQIUYIRANWANGSHENGDEGONGNENGJISHICHANGDEQIANLI,ERZUOWEISHOUJIXINPIANLINGYULINGYIZHONGYAOCHANGSHANGDELIANFAKEZAIDANGSHIBINGWEIXUANZEGENJIN。TANJIDANGCHUDEJUEDING,GUDAWEIBIAOSHI,ZHEIGENGDUOSHICHUYUZHANLVEZIYUANDEKAOLIANG。

直播吧手机版 TAJIESHAOCHENG,LIANFAKEZAIGUOQUJINIANDUINEIBUSHOUJIZIYUANZUOLEJIAODADESHULI,BINGJIANGDABUFENZIYUANDIAOZHI5GDENGLINGYU。“SUIRAN4GGONGNENGJIDUANQIKEYIDUOZHENGYIXIEQIAN,JISHUSHANGLAIJIANGYEMEIYOUNANDU。DANSHENWEIYIGEJISHUGONGSI,ZAIZIYUANYOUXIANDEQINGKUANGXIAYAOZUOQUSHESHI,WOMENXUANZEMIANXIANG5G。”

直播吧手机版 GUDAWEIQIANGDIAOCHENG,ZHEISHISHANGYEDEXUANZE,ERFEIJISHUDEKAOLIANG。“RUGUORIHOUKAN(4G)XINGCHENGZHANGWEIXIAOYING,HUITOUZAIZUOHAISHIYOUZIYUANDE。”TASHUO,“FANGUOLAI,RUGUOCUOGUOLEDIYIBO5G,ZHEISHIYINXIAOSHIDA。”

直播吧手机版 ZAITANDAOLIANFAKEZAISHOUJILINGYUDECELVEHEMUBIAOSHI,CHENGUANZHOUBIAOSHI,DIYIJIANSHISHIDAHAO4GDEXIABANCHANG,TIGAOZIYUANDELIYONGXIAOLV,DIERJIANSHIJIUSHIZHANGWO5GZHUANHUANDESHANGJI。TATANYAN,4GSHIDAILIANFAKESHI“DIERMING”,MUQIANGONGSITUIDONG5G SoCGANSHANGDAGUIMOSHANGYONG,BEIHOUDESIWEIJIUSHIRUHEZAI5GSHIDAIBAJULISUODUAN,JINYIBULAJINYU“DIYIMING”DEJULI。

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